本周(zhou)，中(zhong)国(guo)轻纺城传统市(shi)场大(da)众面(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)跑量(liang)(liang)局部(bu)仍显(xian)不(bu)足，部(bu)分(fen)(fen)中(zhong)小(xiao)经营(ying)户因(yin)资(zi)金链紧张赊(she)账发货(huo)多有(you)下降，因(yin)国(guo)际市(shi)场需(xu)求疲软外单承接依然(ran)不(bu)足，又因(yin)各(ge)地服装厂家需(xu)求下降大(da)众面(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)现(xian)货(huo)成交和订单承接局部(bu)继续(xu)呈现(xian)价(jia)跌量(liang)(liang)缩走(zou)势。 但部(bu)分(fen)(fen)前店后厂式布(bu)业(ye)公司和规模性经营(ying)门市(shi)创意(yi)面(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)研发力度仍有(you)加大(da)，秋(qiu)冬创意(yi)面(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)出样继续(xu)增加，适销(xiao)对(dui)路(lu)的面(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)成交大(da)小(xiao)批量(liang)(liang)兼(jian)具，因(yin)产品转型升级(ji)附加值较大(da)路(lu)货(huo)产品尚有(you)提振，秋(qiu)市(shi)营(ying)销(xiao)局部(bu)仍显(xian)走(zou)畅(chang)。
纺织品(pin)主要价格指数分析
“中国·柯桥纺织指数”20111107期价(jia)格指数收盘于107.94点，与上(shang)期相比下跌了0.28%。
本(ben)期价(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)数与年初比(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)调(diao)3.12%，去年同比(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)调(diao)6.46%。本(ben)期从一级分(fen)类(lei)(lei)(lei)品(pin)种中显(xian)示：原料类(lei)(lei)(lei)、坯布类(lei)(lei)(lei)、服(fu)装面(mian)料类(lei)(lei)(lei)、服(fu)饰辅料类(lei)(lei)(lei)价(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)数不等量下跌，拉(la)动总(zong)类(lei)(lei)(lei)价(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)数小(xiao)幅下滑(hua)。但(dan)家纺类(lei)(lei)(lei)价(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)数小(xiao)幅上(shang)(shang)调(diao)，相对制约(yue)了总(zong)类(lei)(lei)(lei)价(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)数的下跌幅度。
本周价(jia)格(ge)指数(shu)运(yun)行情况分析
1．国际油价(jia)震荡(dang)(dang)上行(xing)聚(ju)(ju)酯(zhi)原料(liao)价(jia)格(ge)(ge)震荡(dang)(dang)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)，棉花价(jia)格(ge)(ge)继续(xu)下(xia)(xia)滑(hua)。虽国际原油价(jia)格(ge)(ge)震荡(dang)(dang)上行(xing)，但上游聚(ju)(ju)酯(zhi)原材料(liao)PTA、MEG市(shi)场价(jia)格(ge)(ge)震荡(dang)(dang)下(xia)(xia)行(xing)，例如PTA华东市(shi)场现(xian)货较低商谈(tan)价(jia)10月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)28日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)在(zai)8950元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，至11月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)4日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)在(zai)8420元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)；MEG华东市(shi)场现(xian)货较低商谈(tan)价(jia)10月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)28日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)在(zai)9000元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，至11月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)4日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)在(zai)8650元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)；江(jiang)浙半光聚(ju)(ju)酯(zhi)切片现(xian)货现(xian)款承兑较低商谈(tan)价(jia)10月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)28日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)在(zai)11400元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，至11月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)4日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)在(zai)10700元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，价(jia)格(ge)(ge)重心继续(xu)呈现(xian)下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)走势。国内棉花价(jia)格(ge)(ge)继续(xu)下(xia)(xia)滑(hua)，例如国内328级(ji)棉10月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)28日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)收(shou)报(bao)19432元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，至11月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)4日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)收(shou)报(bao)19293元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)139元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)；229级(ji)棉10月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)28日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)收(shou)报(bao)20837元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，至11月(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)(yue)4日(ri)(ri)(ri)(ri)收(shou)报(bao)20671元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)，下(xia)(xia)跌(die)(die)166元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)(dun)。
2．纺(fang)织(zhi)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)业(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速逐(zhu)步回落，交(jiao)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)轻(qing)纺(fang)城(cheng)支行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)强(qiang)化对(dui)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)信贷(dai)支持(chi)(chi)力(li)度(du)。①利(li)(li)空(kong)因(yin)(yin)素(su)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)纺(fang)企(qi)(qi)(qi)产(chan)(chan)销(xiao)回落。受原(yuan)(yuan)材料价格(ge)波动、人民币升值、用工成本(ben)大(da)幅度(du)上涨和(he)国(guo)(guo)际(ji)市场(chang)(chang)需(xu)求(qiu)不旺、不确定(ding)因(yin)(yin)素(su)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)多(duo)等(deng)一系(xi)列不利(li)(li)因(yin)(yin)素(su)影响，又因(yin)(yin)今年银(yin)根(gen)紧缩、贷(dai)款(kuan)利(li)(li)率(lv)上调和(he)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)微企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)融(rong)资(zi)困(kun)难(nan)等(deng)众(zhong)多(duo)利(li)(li)空(kong)因(yin)(yin)素(su)导致国(guo)(guo)内纺(fang)织(zhi)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)业(ye)(ye)(ye)再(zai)次重新(xin)(xin)洗(xi)牌，纺(fang)织(zhi)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)业(ye)(ye)(ye)呈(cheng)现出生(sheng)产(chan)(chan)、销(xiao)售、效(xiao)益增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速逐(zhu)步回落，出口(kou)数量增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速下(xia)(xia)(xia)滑相(xiang)对(dui)明(ming)显的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)态势(shi)。近期(qi)(qi)虽国(guo)(guo)际(ji)原(yuan)(yuan)油市场(chang)(chang)处于(yu)高位震(zhen)荡上行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)之中(zhong)，但(dan)上游聚酯原(yuan)(yuan)料PTA、MEG市场(chang)(chang)呈(cheng)现震(zhen)荡下(xia)(xia)(xia)滑走(zou)势(shi)，江浙半(ban)光聚酯切片(pian)、有光聚酯切片(pian)价格(ge)继续下(xia)(xia)(xia)挫，致使(shi)近期(qi)(qi)聚酯涤(di)纶产(chan)(chan)销(xiao)下(xia)(xia)(xia)滑明(ming)显，江浙地区涤(di)丝产(chan)(chan)销(xiao)多(duo)有一定(ding)幅度(du)下(xia)(xia)(xia)滑，库(ku)存增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)涤(di)丝价格(ge)下(xia)(xia)(xia)跌(die)明(ming)显，因(yin)(yin)需(xu)求(qiu)不足(zu)劳(lao)动力(li)成本(ben)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)，下(xia)(xia)(xia)游小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)微织(zhi)厂大(da)众(zhong)产(chan)(chan)品(pin)处于(yu)盈(ying)亏边缘停机率(lv)仍有所增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)。目前棉(mian)花收购企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)多(duo)持(chi)(chi)悲观情绪，棉(mian)农惜售心理较(jiao)强(qiang)，籽棉(mian)市场(chang)(chang)购销(xiao)僵持(chi)(chi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)局(ju)面短期(qi)(qi)内难(nan)以(yi)打破。在(zai)这样的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)总(zong)体形(xing)势(shi)下(xia)(xia)(xia)，国(guo)(guo)家(jia)收储的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)数量有望进一步激(ji)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)。当前国(guo)(guo)内棉(mian)花市场(chang)(chang)成交(jiao)清淡，价格(ge)走(zou)势(shi)疲弱的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)格(ge)局(ju)在(zai)短期(qi)(qi)内仍将持(chi)(chi)续。②交(jiao)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)轻(qing)纺(fang)城(cheng)支行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)创新(xin)(xin)融(rong)资(zi)方(fang)式给(ji)力(li)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)。交(jiao)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)轻(qing)纺(fang)城(cheng)支行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)积极探索(suo)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)融(rong)资(zi)新(xin)(xin)方(fang)法(fa)和(he)新(xin)(xin)路径，满(man)足(zu)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)有效(xiao)需(xu)求(qiu)。该行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)经常调整服务方(fang)式，以(yi)缩小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)银(yin)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)利(li)(li)润的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)方(fang)式，将企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)贷(dai)款(kuan)置换成敞口(kou)承兑、票据(ju)转(zhuan)让、开(kai)立信用证等(deng)贸易(yi)融(rong)资(zi)产(chan)(chan)品(pin)及其他各种金(jin)融(rong)新(xin)(xin)产(chan)(chan)品(pin)，确保企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)生(sheng)产(chan)(chan)经营资(zi)金(jin)流动性(xing)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)需(xu)要(yao)。该行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)建(jian)立了中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)服务中(zhong)心，强(qiang)化对(dui)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)信贷(dai)支持(chi)(chi)力(li)度(du)，积极向上级行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)争取更多(duo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)信贷(dai)规模和(he)政策(ce)支持(chi)(chi)，缓解绍兴(xing)县(xian)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)资(zi)金(jin)短缺(que)和(he)贷(dai)款(kuan)难(nan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)矛(mao)盾。该行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)今年坚持(chi)(chi)三(san)大(da)举措(cuo)，保持(chi)(chi)信贷(dai)额度(du)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)平稳投放，做到不抽贷(dai)、不压贷(dai)，小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)贷(dai)款(kuan)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速高于(yu)贷(dai)款(kuan)平均增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速，给(ji)力(li)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)发展。该行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)在(zai)操作(zuo)中(zhong)最大(da)限(xian)度(du)让利(li)(li)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)，对(dui)中(zhong)小(xiao)(xiao)(xiao)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)执(zhi)行(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)(xing)利(li)(li)率(lv)优惠政策(ce)，特别是对(dui)困(kun)难(nan)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)，采取利(li)(li)率(lv)尽(jin)量不上浮、少上浮的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)方(fang)式来支持(chi)(chi)企(qi)(qi)(qi)业(ye)(ye)(ye)发展。
3．萧绍(shao)纯棉(mian)纱(sha)价(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)稳跌互现(xian)营(ying)销继(ji)续疲(pi)弱。近期上(shang)(shang)游棉(mian)花价(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)继(ji)续下(xia)(xia)跌，缺乏下(xia)(xia)游需求的有力支撑，致使(shi)棉(mian)花品种价(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)续跌。因下(xia)(xia)游需求疲(pi)弱，观望心态上(shang)(shang)升(sheng)，萧绍(shao)地区纯棉(mian)纱(sha)市(shi)场营(ying)销继(ji)续清淡(dan)，部分厂家(jia)价(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)连续下(xia)(xia)调，成交(jiao)低迷，营(ying)销氛(fen)围依然疲(pi)弱，纱(sha)厂库存(cun)压力上(shang)(shang)升(sheng)，局(ju)部尚有减产举措。中国(guo)轻(qing)纺城钱清原料市(shi)场21S纯棉(mian)针(zhen)织纱(sha)山东(dong)银丰产上(shang)(shang)/一(yi)等品10月28日主(zhu)(zhu)流报(bao)价(jia)(jia)在25000元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)，至11月4日主(zhu)(zhu)流报(bao)价(jia)(jia)在24500元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)（下(xia)(xia)跌500元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)）。32S纯棉(mian)高配纱(sha)济南(nan)银花产上(shang)(shang)/一(yi)等品10月28日主(zhu)(zhu)流报(bao)价(jia)(jia)27500元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)，至11月4日主(zhu)(zhu)流报(bao)价(jia)(jia)27500元(yuan)(yuan)/吨(dun)，（价(jia)(jia)格(ge)(ge)基本僵持）。
4．坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)成(cheng)交(jiao)小(xiao)幅下滑(hua)(hua)。近期轻(qing)(qing)纺城(cheng)坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)成(cheng)交(jiao)小(xiao)幅下滑(hua)(hua)，因传统(tong)市场(chang)大众(zhong)(zhong)面(mian)料跑量下滑(hua)(hua)，中小(xiao)商户(hu)成(cheng)交(jiao)相对不足，致使轻(qing)(qing)纺城(cheng)坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)市场(chang)成(cheng)交(jiao)小(xiao)幅下滑(hua)(hua)，天然纤(xian)(xian)维坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)、化学(xue)纤(xian)(xian)维坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)成(cheng)交(jiao)呈现不等量下滑(hua)(hua)走势，但混(hun)纺纤(xian)(xian)坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)近期坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)市场(chang)连日成(cheng)交(jiao)仍有小(xiao)幅回升(sheng)，创意(yi)面(mian)料价格小(xiao)幅回升(sheng)。因大众(zhong)(zhong)坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)局部成(cheng)交(jiao)相对不足，拉动(dong)坯(pi)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)类(lei)价格指数小(xiao)幅下滑(hua)(hua)。
5．服(fu)(fu)装面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)价格指数小幅(fu)下(xia)滑，大(da)众(zhong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)成交(jiao)仍有下(xia)降。就整体市(shi)场(chang)(chang)而言，秋(qiu)冬(dong)成品面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)挂样上市(shi)继(ji)续增加，大(da)众(zhong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)跑量(liang)(liang)因(yin)资(zi)金链紧张和利润空间压缩中小商户赊(she)账发货有所下(xia)降，又(you)因(yin)国际(ji)市(shi)场(chang)(chang)需求疲软外单局(ju)部下(xia)降，对口商贾入市(shi)认(ren)购仍相对不足(zu)(zu)，大(da)众(zhong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)价格稳中下(xia)跌(die)，服(fu)(fu)装面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)中的(de)纯棉(mian)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)、涤(di)毛面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)、涤(di)粘面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)、粘胶面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)、锦(jin)纶面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)成交(jiao)呈现不等(deng)量(liang)(liang)下(xia)滑走(zou)势，大(da)众(zhong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)成交(jiao)依(yi)然不足(zu)(zu)，拉(la)动服(fu)(fu)装面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)价格指数小幅(fu)下(xia)滑。但部分前店后(hou)厂式布业公司和规模性经(jing)营门(men)市(shi)因(yin)产(chan)品转型(xing)升级秋(qiu)冬(dong)创意(yi)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)成交(jiao)依(yi)然走(zou)畅，差(cha)异化的(de)秋(qiu)冬(dong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)局(ju)部成交(jiao)继(ji)续顺畅，创意(yi)花型(xing)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)营销继(ji)续走(zou)畅。
下周(zhou)价格指数(shu)预(yu)测(ce)
预计后市(shi)轻纺城传(chuan)统交易(yi)区和公(gong)司化交易(yi)区秋冬(dong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)成交将局部增加，后市(shi)秋冬(dong)创意面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)营(ying)销(xiao)仍(reng)(reng)将继(ji)续走畅，对口面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)附加值局部提振，部分前店后厂式布业公(gong)司和规(gui)模性经营(ying)门(men)市(shi)秋冬(dong)面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)市(shi)场(chang)营(ying)销(xiao)继(ji)续拓(tuo)展。但部分中小(xiao)商(shang)户销(xiao)售仍(reng)(reng)显疲乏，因国际市(shi)场(chang)需(xu)求疲软外单仍(reng)(reng)显不足，又因资金链紧张中小(xiao)商(shang)户赊(she)账发货仍(reng)(reng)将继(ji)续下降(jiang)，大众面(mian)(mian)料(liao)(liao)价(jia)格(ge)走势(shi)仍(reng)(reng)将稳中回软。
本期床(chuang)上(shang)用(yong)品(pin)类、衬料(liao)类、涤棉(mian)面(mian)料(liao)类、粘毛面(mian)料(liao)类、服装里料(liao)类价格指数涨幅位于前五位，销(xiao)量比上(shang)期不等(deng)量增加(jia)，部分代表品(pin)单(dan)价不等(deng)量上(shang)扬是主要(yao)因素。
本期线(xian)绳类(lei)、花边类(lei)、涤纶类(lei)、粘胶类(lei)、锦纶面料类(lei)价格(ge)指数跌幅位(wei)于前五位(wei)，成交(jiao)量(liang)比(bi)上期不(bu)等量(liang)下(xia)滑(hua)，部分代表品单价不(bu)等量(liang)下(xia)滑(hua)是主要因素。
发布单位：
中华人(ren)民共和国商务部
编制单位：
中国(guo)轻纺城建设管理委员会
“中国(guo)·柯桥纺织指数”编制办公室
